Uncertainty and prediction publications
Recognition Is Not Proof
It is after two in the morning. Someone notices a pattern linking problems that had previously seemed unrelated. At first the idea is merely interesting. Then it begins to fit more cases than expected. They describe it to a language model. The response is orderly, enthusiastic an...
Uncertainty Is Not Helplessness
A blood test is booked for 8:10 in the morning. There was food in the early hours, a sip of soft drink later, and several beers the previous evening. At that point nobody is trying to solve a philosophy of science problem. The practical questions are narrower: should the appointm...
Awe Without Mystification
An old recording shows people running toward a collapsing building while every sensible reflex points the other way. Another scene holds on a hospital corridor, where someone waits with a parcel for a stranger. Then a familiar piece of music reaches the passage that has produced...
Gods Are Not Laboratory Notebooks
Apollo holds an awkward number of functions together. He is bright and distant. He gives oracles, orders music, heals, and at the beginning of the Iliad sends plague into the Achaean camp with his arrows. The epithet “Phoebus” means bright or radiant, while Delphic Apollo became...
When the Body Feels Physics
A person can know that balance depends on the relation between centre of mass and base of support, then lose balance immediately when a partner changes the direction of force. Nothing mysterious has happened. Verbal knowledge and usable coordination simply occupy different forms.
Movement Thinks Too
The player runs down a corridor, turns slightly before the wall, jumps, and draws an arc through the air that looks more like a mistake than an intentional technique. The next attempt is faster and still worse. The third almost reaches the opposite ledge, but the accumulated spee...
